- Your chances of beating the spreads are low. The spreads are set by professional gaming houses that use complex algorithms and data analytics to establish the spreads.
- The House will always make money! The purpose of these spreads is to ensure that half the money wagered is placed on each team. Then the gambling house takes its 10% cut, so it doesn’t matter which team beats the spread. The simplest explanation is that you bet $10 to win just $9.
- Flipping a coin is better than your own best judgment. You will not beat the spreads without help. Research shows that the typical gamer wins only 48% of the time and would do better by just flipping a coin to make a bet. You must win more than 52.6 % of the time to make money.
- Subscribe to a forecasting service to get the analysis you need. A forecasting service that uses sophisticated models will help you beat the Vegas spreads. Over the past 20 years we have developed analytical models that do beat these spreads. If you want to make money betting on NFL games you need to subscribe to our service. Many forecasting services charge hundreds and even thousands of dollars for their subscriptions. Ours is only $50 and it is more accurate than our high priced competitors. Click on the post that shows our track record of 61.2% from season 2020.
- The best chance to beat the spreads is to bet early. The money that is being wagered moves the lines. This is because the house wants half the money bet on each team. Your best chance to beat these spreads is to bet as soon as the spreads become available. Our forecasts are published on Tuesday afternoons thus giving you edges before the spreads change later in the week when most bets are placed.
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